5 Reasons Why Trump Won't Win in November

No one can deny that there is no man in America with more enemies than the 45th president of the United States. For the first time in American history, a former president is facing federal charges would be a big deal unto itself. It has never happened in this country before.

In the 2020 presidential election, Trump lost narrowly in the electoral college and by a landslide in the popular vote. Presidential elections are usually decided by a relatively small group of swing voters in six or seven swing states. The most important are independent voters and suburban voters, two groups that appear to have turned away from Trump since 2016. He hasn’t done anything to win them back since 2020, instead running in recent months on a platform that’s more radical, extreme, and openly authoritarian than ever (except on the issue of abortion, where he is less extreme than his Republican-primary competitors).

Between the 2016 and 2024 elections, some 20 million older voters will have died and about 32 million younger Americans will have reached voting age. Many young voters disdain both parties and Republicans are actively recruiting (mostly white men) on college campuses. But the issues that are dearest to Generation Z’s heart such as reproductive rights, democracy and the environment will keep most of them voting Democratic.

The abortion issue, opened up by the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, has consistently played in Democrats’ favor, and that’s unlikely to change next November. If the Republican nominee were former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, women might not rally so powerfully to the Democratic side. But Trump claims responsibility for the decision overturning Roe by virtue of his Supreme Court appointees. That, plus Trump’s treatment of women, gives Kamala Harris a huge opportunity with female voters.

Remember: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin could hold the key to the White House. Trump still have big chance to win because many Americans cannot afford four more years of Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, which we think would probably be worse than even Biden and Harris were.

kamala Harris policies: purely left-Californian: opposition to fossil fuels and fracking, supporting Medicare for all, taxpayer funded health care for illegal immigrants, bail funding for rioters, and defunding the police, that have caused San Francisco to lose its famous luster. On the key issue of illegal immigration, Harris was supposed to be the Administration’s key senior policy official. She described her role as seeking the “root causes,” but never identified any.

We can't pretend Harris doesn't have serious and worrying flaws. As much as she's been a pretty benign figure during her vice presidential days, there's nothing to stop her worst tendencies from flaring up again if she becomes president.